Elon Musk predicted that very soon, Tesla’s “Full Self Driving ” system is on the verge, after some bugs are fixed, of driving so well that “it will take over a year of driving to get even one intervention.”
However, it’s worth consider what it would mean if this were to happen for Tesla FSD-Supervised. The current system, until recently, tended to get one intervention per trip. The new V.12 is better, and is doing around 10 trips per intervention. Waymo and Cruise operate with no human behind the wheel, so real time intervention is not possible. For a typical driver, they take around 300-500 trips/year Robotaxi average trips are much shorter than private driver average trips.
On the other hand, only some drivers will get complacency, though the number goes up as the frequency of interventions goes down. If only a small fraction get complacent, the overall safety of the fleet may well go up as the system prevents human mistakes, and most humans prevent machine mistakes. You don’t want to deny drivers who use a system well the opportunity to gain safety from it just because a minority abuse it.