Can California’s power grid handle a 15-fold increase in electric cars?

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Despite expecting 12.5 million electric cars by 2035, California officials insist the grid can provide enough electricity. But that’s based on multiple assumptions — including building solar and wi…

Power lines in Elk Grove on Sept. 20, 2022. Photo by Rahul Lal, CalMatters

“We’re going to have to expand the grid at a radically much faster rate,” said David Victor, a professor and co-director of the Deep Decarbonization Initiative at UC San Diego. “This is plausible if the right policies are in place, but it’s not guaranteed. It’s best-case.” Build solar and wind at an unprecedented pace: Shifting to all renewables requires at least 6 gigawatts of new resources a year for the next 25 years — a pace that’s never been met before.

Providing electricity during those hot summer evenings — when people use the most — will be a challenge, said Gee of the California Energy Commission. But for many drivers, charging during the day or late at night is not a problem: Most electric cars have chargers that can be automatically turned on after 9 p.m. But for some drivers, especially those who live in apartments or condominiums, charging during those hours may not be an option.

For instance, in the summer when energy is the most expensive, PG&E customers pay about 55 cents per kilowatt-hour during peak hours, more than double the 24 cents during off-peak times, according to PG&E spokesperson Paul Doherty.

 

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