Will Self-Driving Cars Really Only Last Four Years?

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A recent claim by a major automaker suggests that true self-driving cars might only last 4 years at a time, consider the ramifications if true.

, and so on, need to be factored into the longevity of the overall car, and the same applies to the computer chips and memory on-board too.

Thus, when you look at how long a car will last, you are also silently considering the cost of a new or newer car.If the cost is really high to purchase a self-driving car, you would presumably have greater incentive to try and keep an in-use self-driving car in sufficient working order.

Suppose a driverless car owner that had used their self-driving car extensively in a downtown city setting opted to sell the autonomous car to someone that lived in a suburban community. The logic might be that the self-driving car no longer was sufficient for use in a continual stop-and-go traffic environment but might be viable in a less hectic suburban locale.

On the other hand, some pundits have predicted that we won’t need as many cars as we have today, since a smaller number of ridesharing driverless cars will fulfill our driving needs, abetting the need for everyone to have a car.Another facet to consider involves the pace at which high-tech might advance and thus cause a heightened turnover in self-driving cars.

 

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Article appears to assume that there will be as many AVs as current cars on the road. MaaS results in fewer cars on the road, but they’ll be driven more. Assuming nothing else changes, the number of cars scrapped per year will be much the same.

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